The Budget is already out, but the market’s downfall doesn’t seem to stop. Looks like everyone’s wondering the same thing:
- When will the market recover?
- How will it bounce back?
How is your Portfolio doing ? ( 
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My MF portfolio is down 20% overall. 
Taking it in stride as investing for the long term 
Currently trading options using Dhan API (Python SDK) to generate non-cyclic monthly/bi-monthly income (hopefully). 
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Portfolio has been since the last 2 months
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Well good thing and thanks to Team Dhan for delaying the demat MF launch. I was in 100% cash waiting for Dhan demat MF. I know that sounds immature but it is what it is.
Yesterday, I deployed the half of that in smallcap MF and stocks in AngelOne.
It’s sort of a lucky me situation. 
Thank you once again for delaying the demat MF launch. I got a good bang for the buck. @Divyesh @PravinJ
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Nobody can time the market with any certainty @Divyesh. Markets move in cycles. If there was a bull market there was also a following bear market. History keeps repeating 
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Could not agree more. People witnessed the bull cycle and everyone was jumping on the stock market bandwagon. Now, in this bearish cycle and with SEBI’s curb on option trading, most retail traders have either switched to mutual funds or are doing minimal stock investments.
As far as the portfolio is concerned, I still believe that if you are a long-term investor and have invested in quality stocks, there is no need to worry.
A few points for the fall, which I believe are:
- Poor results from companies in many sectors.
- US tariff fears.
- Rupee depreciation.
There can be a dozen other reasons. For now, I believe portfolios are in the red. Once it stabilizes, it will turn green; till then, I will wait.
P.S. My portfolio is also in the red. 
“Thousands of experts study overbought indicators, head-and-shoulder patterns, put-call ratios, the Fed’s policy on money supply…and they can’t predict markets with any useful consistency, any more than the gizzard squeezers could tell the Roman emperors when the Huns would attack.”
Peter Lynch -One Up on Wall Street.
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Finding a number that feels right can be a challenge. Still, for the list that is kept updated, the values have dropped by 20%.
But for those who have been invested for a while, the overall profit and loss might not matter too much, and they could even be in the positive.
Many strong companies have lost 40-50% of their value from ATH, but this isn’t because their sales or profits are down. Instead, it’s because there isn’t enough money available in the market to support their value.
I’m uncertain about how long it will take or what will happen to help recover these lost valuation.
As we all look forward to their official meeting.
“One loyal friend is worth ten thousand relatives.”
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I feel like downside is still remaining. Nifty close above 24000 decisively will be called uptrend
Till then, as per my thinking 22000-22500 could be final range after which market may bounce back.
- A good budget
- A good monetary policy
- Income tax rate cut
- Fine earnings from large caps
Still markets falling…This might be a sign that we were a bit overheated and weak hands are now leaving the markets.
So until anything super positive comes in, 22500 is always open to test.
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After stepdown Nirmala Sitharaman market will recover I think…
Portfolio is red. I see a target of 21800 from current level if it breaches 22800 tomorrow.
From 21800 I feel it should recover if not at 22800.
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Bears are in full motion until 23200 from here down side there are only 2 strong support s are there at 22540 and 21885 respectively if these two are taken by the bears than deffenetly government will ask the LIC step in and save the market it happens twice in market if you are an long term investor than wait for this two opportunities
And always do remember 5 months selling doesn’t happen in Indian market so bottom can not made here because trade war started just now and to digest all these issues it will take 2/3 months I hope not less than this by the time market will touch both bottom s if you have any leftover funds than divide in two and it’s safe investment plan market cannot beat you Best of luck
If you like it do comment
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Bears are in full motion until 23200 from here down side there are only 2 strong support s are there at 22540 and 21885 respectively if these two are taken by the bears than deffenetly government will ask the LIC step in and save the market it happens twice in market if you are an long term investor than wait for this two opportunities
And always do remember 5 months selling doesn’t happen in Indian market so bottom can not made here because trade war started just now and to digest all these issues it will take 2/3 months I hope not less than this by the time market will touch both bottom s if you have any leftover funds than divide in two and it’s safe investment plan market cannot beat you Best of luck
If you like it do comment
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Bears are in full motion until 23200 from here down side there are only 2 strong support s are there at 22540 and 21885 respectively if these two are taken by the bears than deffenetly government will ask the LIC step in and save the market it happens twice in market if you are an long term investor than wait for this two opportunities
And always do remember 5 months selling doesn’t happen in Indian market so bottom can not made here because trade war started just now and to digest all these issues it will take 2/3 months I hope not less than this by the time market will touch both bottom s if you have any leftover funds than divide in two and it’s safe investment plan market cannot beat you Best of luck
If you like it do comment
I recall a few years ago when their ads were everywhere on Google, boldly claiming that investing just 100 or 200 rupees a month could make someone rich and prosperous. Or something rhyming in those lines selling big dreams to someone on daily wages browsing the google play store.
You would click on those ads without thinking, and before you knew it, you’d have a demat account set up in no time.
The chickens have finally arrived home, and now they must work hard to satisfy the clients who trusted them with their promises.
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